Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.120412 0.129245 0.138399 0.148600 0.159658 0.171290 0.184462
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.102696 0.115220 0.128857 0.144839 0.163094 0.183339 0.207551
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.095254 0.110142 0.126911 0.147260 0.171369 0.199119 0.233622
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.087246 0.103318 0.121915 0.145120 0.173433 0.207023 0.250140
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.081147 0.098080 0.118129 0.143757 0.175836 0.214914 0.266502
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.074914 0.092155 0.112980 0.140163 0.174956 0.218336 0.277040
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.070453 0.088077 0.109760 0.138613 0.176318 0.224356 0.290892
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.067285 0.085395 0.108063 0.138778 0.179712 0.232945 0.308328
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.063472 0.081650 0.104754 0.136577 0.179743 0.236934 0.319574
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.060559 0.078908 0.102574 0.135684 0.181364 0.242982 0.333777
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.059810 0.078969 0.104055 0.139723 0.189810 0.258648 0.362185
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057384 0.076638 0.102183 0.139020 0.191552 0.264950 0.377359
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.054827 0.074072 0.099945 0.137790 0.192612 0.270501 0.392017
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.051723 0.070623 0.096343 0.134466 0.190496 0.271352 0.399696
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.050671 0.069988 0.096628 0.136684 0.196502 0.284315 0.426387
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.048377 0.067485 0.094139 0.134717 0.196155 0.287700 0.438295
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.046460 0.065439 0.092209 0.133464 0.196775 0.292506 0.452599
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.044068 0.062605 0.089014 0.130158 0.194069 0.291992 0.458204
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.042362 0.060713 0.087124 0.128733 0.194178 0.295824 0.471032
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.041195 0.059573 0.086297 0.128884 0.196732 0.303598 0.490757
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.039513 0.057595 0.084135 0.126859 0.195710 0.305523 0.500611
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.038238 0.056188 0.082781 0.126038 0.196564 0.310503 0.515910
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.038175 0.056625 0.084258 0.129754 0.204951 0.328283 0.554500